https://yael.ca/categories/daily-wire/Latest writing and media appearances from Yaël Ossowski.Hugo -- gohugo.ioen-us© Yaël Ossowski. All rights reserved.Mon, 05 Oct 2026 18:23:00 +0200https://yael.ca/posts/inside-the-billion-dollar-battle-to-tax-your-predictions/Mon, 05 Oct 2026 18:23:00 +0200https://yael.ca/posts/inside-the-billion-dollar-battle-to-tax-your-predictions/<h3 id="prediction-markets-are-inching-closer-to-scotus-intervention-with-a-new-circuit-court-ruling">Prediction markets are inching closer to SCOTUS intervention with a new circuit court ruling.</h3> <p>When you take a position on the next Oscar winner for Best Actor or the Super Bowl MVP, who sets the rules and governs the contract?</p> <p>Prediction markets, also known as outcome markets, are regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which oversees commodity futures and “swaps” markets at the federal level. States looking to extract fees or shut it down entirely believe their sports gambling statutes and regulators are the key factor shaping the industry — they are wrong.</p>